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July 22, 2026
Finance

After shocking quarter, IBM insists that AI isn't killing the mainframe

Overview

After IBM's stock crashed last week on warnings of poor mainframe sales, the CEO explained that AI wrecked corporate hardware budget, temporarily. On Wednesday, IBM officially reported earnings and the news was as bad as everyone knew it would be. While the 115-year-old company still generates boatloads of cash - $17.2 billion in revenue, $9.9 billion in gross profit, nearly 58% margins, and $2.2 billion in net earnings for the quarter - its results fell well short of Wall Street's expectations.

Key Takeaways

  • It was such a bad miss that IBM CEO Arvind Krishna and the board took the unprecedented step of warning investors ahead of time that earnings "was worse than our expectations," offering everyone a sneak peek.

    He published a "letter to investors," last week sharing preliminary results.

  • On Wednesday, IBM also lowered its full-year growth forecasts, meaning this horrible quarter would impact the rest of the year.
  • That may not sound like a lot of customers, but mainframes are systems that cost hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars, and with maintenance contracts and software, generate many millions more.
  • Enterprise hardware makers like Dell and HP have warned that rising costs on components like memory, caused by the AI build-out boom, have forced them to raise prices .

    But Krishna promised that those customers will still buy their new mainframes eventually - along with their new software contracts.

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Stats & Key Facts

  • #While the 115-year-old company still generates boatloads of cash - $17.2 billion in revenue, $9.9 billion in gross profit, nearly 58% margins, and $2.2 billion in net earnings for the quarter - its results fell well short of Wall Street's expectations.
  • #The company's stock instantly tanked 25%, its biggest single-day decline ever .
  • #IBM's cash-cow mainframe business was down 42%.
  • #That's a cascading problem, because as CFO Jim Kavanaugh explained on the quarterly call with investors, IBM earns $3 in software revenue for every $1 of mainframe hardware it sells.

It was such a bad miss that IBM CEO Arvind Krishna and the board took the unprecedented step of warning investors ahead of time that earnings "was worse than our expectations," offering everyone a sneak peek. He published a "letter to investors," last week sharing preliminary results. It warned of abysmal revenue in the company's all-important "infrastructure" category and said that profit margins were also going to take a hit.

The company's stock instantly tanked 25%, its biggest single-day decline ever . Until then, the stock had performed well under Krishna's six years of leadership, buoyed by the AI data center boom that had been lifting all boats. On Wednesday, IBM also lowered its full-year growth forecasts, meaning this horrible quarter would impact the rest of the year.

IBM's cash-cow mainframe business was down 42%. That's a cascading problem, because as CFO Jim Kavanaugh explained on the quarterly call with investors, IBM earns $3 in software revenue for every $1 of mainframe hardware it sells. However, the CEO and CFO spent the call insisting that this was a temporary blip and all would be well soon.

For more details please read the original article at TechCrunch AI.

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Originally published by TechCrunch AI
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